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3 Reasons to Sell SONO and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

SONO Cover Image

The past six months have been a windfall for Sonos’s shareholders. The company’s stock price has jumped 61%, hitting $17.38 per share. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is now the time to buy Sonos, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Do We Think Sonos Will Underperform?

Despite the momentum, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why SONO doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Regrettably, Sonos’s sales grew at a weak 1.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmarks.

Sonos Quarterly Revenue

2. Mediocre Free Cash Flow Margin Limits Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Sonos has shown poor cash profitability over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 8.2%, lousy for a consumer discretionary business.

Sonos Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

A company’s ROIC, or return on invested capital, shows how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, Sonos’s ROIC has unfortunately decreased significantly. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

Sonos Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of Sonos, we’re out. After the recent surge, the stock trades at 19.5× forward P/E (or $17.38 per share). While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t see a big opportunity at the moment. There are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.

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