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5 Insightful Analyst Questions From AAR’s Q3 Earnings Call

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AAR delivered third quarter results that surpassed Wall Street expectations, driven by robust demand for new parts distribution and expanded software offerings. Management highlighted that organic sales growth in its parts supply segment was especially strong, helped by wins in both commercial and government markets. CEO John Holmes attributed performance to “continued market share gains” and noted, “our exclusive distribution model resonates with OEMs, and it’s helping to drive continued market share gains.” The company also saw solid contributions from its Trax software solution and the recent acquisition of AeroStrat, further diversifying its revenue base.

Is now the time to buy AIR? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

AAR (AIR) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $739.6 million vs analyst estimates of $688.8 million (11.8% year-on-year growth, 7.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.08 vs analyst estimates of $0.98 (9.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $86.7 million vs analyst estimates of $82.15 million (11.7% margin, 5.5% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 8.8%, up from 6.6% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $3.11 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From AAR’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Ken Herbert (RBC): asked if the improved full-year outlook was primarily driven by parts supply. CEO John Holmes confirmed, noting 27% organic growth in that segment and citing market share gains as the main driver.
  • Michael Luchamp (KeyBanc Capital Markets): inquired about growth expectations in distribution and cross-selling opportunities in repair and engineering. Holmes stated distribution should continue to outpace the market and that cross-selling component services is “in the early innings,” with a strong pipeline but longer sales cycles.
  • Scott Micas (Melius Research): questioned the sustainability of USM sales growth and margin potential as more assets come to market. Holmes said USM margins are currently below historical levels due to tight supply but should expand as availability increases.
  • Samuel Pope Struhsaker (Truist Security): asked about inventory investments and the strategy for supporting parts supply demand. Holmes explained Q1 was a “big investment quarter” aimed at enabling continued rapid growth, while maintaining focus on cash flow.
  • Noah Levitt (William Blair): probed AAR’s engine aftermarket exposure and software marketplace strategy. Holmes described engine parts as a majority of parts activity and highlighted plans to integrate marketplace capabilities into the Trax software to drive cross-sell.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and scale of new exclusive distribution agreements with OEMs, (2) the successful ramp-up and integration of AeroStrat and digital marketplace initiatives within the Trax platform, and (3) progress on MRO capacity expansions in Oklahoma City and Miami. The ability to manage inventory investment while maintaining profitability will also be a central focus.

AAR currently trades at $87.87, up from $78.37 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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