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Unpacking Q1 Earnings: Hain Celestial (NASDAQ:HAIN) In The Context Of Other Shelf-Stable Food Stocks

HAIN Cover Image

Quarterly earnings results are a good time to check in on a company’s progress, especially compared to its peers in the same sector. Today we are looking at Hain Celestial (NASDAQ: HAIN) and the best and worst performers in the shelf-stable food industry.

As America industrialized and moved away from an agricultural economy, people faced more demands on their time. Packaged foods emerged as a solution offering convenience to the evolving American family, whether it be canned goods or snacks. Today, Americans seek brands that are high in quality, reliable, and reasonably priced. Furthermore, there's a growing emphasis on health-conscious and sustainable food options. Packaged food stocks are considered resilient investments. People always need to eat, so these companies can enjoy consistent demand as long as they stay on top of changing consumer preferences. The industry spans from multinational corporations to smaller specialized firms and is subject to food safety and labeling regulations.

The 21 shelf-stable food stocks we track reported a mixed Q1. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.2% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was in line.

While some shelf-stable food stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 3.9% since the latest earnings results.

Weakest Q1: Hain Celestial (NASDAQ: HAIN)

Sold in over 75 countries around the world, Hain Celestial (NASDAQ: HAIN) is a natural and organic food company whose products range from snacks to teas to baby food.

Hain Celestial reported revenues of $390.4 million, down 11% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 4.7%. Overall, it was a disappointing quarter for the company with full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

"We are disappointed with our third quarter results, which fell far short of our expectations primarily due to worse-than-expected performance in North America. Despite the shortfall in net sales in the quarter, we are encouraged by a return to organic net sales growth in our international segment and continued progress in reducing net debt,” said Alison Lewis, Interim President and CEO.

Hain Celestial Total Revenue

Hain Celestial delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 34.9% since reporting and currently trades at $1.80.

Read our full report on Hain Celestial here, it’s free.

Best Q1: Hershey (NYSE: HSY)

Best known for its milk chocolate bar and Hershey's Kisses, Hershey (NYSE: HSY) is an iconic company known for its chocolate products.

Hershey reported revenues of $2.61 billion, up 26% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 3.1%. The business had an exceptional quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ organic revenue estimates.

Hershey Total Revenue

Hershey achieved the fastest revenue growth among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 1.4% since reporting. It currently trades at $183.75.

Is now the time to buy Hershey? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Conagra (NYSE: CAG)

Founded in 1919 as Nebraska Consolidated Mills in Omaha, Nebraska, Conagra Brands today (NYSE: CAG) boasts a diverse portfolio of packaged foods brands that includes everything from whipped cream to jarred pickles to frozen meals.

Conagra reported revenues of $2.78 billion, down 4.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 1.7%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations significantly and a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

As expected, the stock is down 6% since the results and currently trades at $19.14.

Read our full analysis of Conagra’s results here.

J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ: JJSF)

Best known for its SuperPretzel soft pretzels and ICEE frozen drinks, J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ: JJSF) produces a range of snacks and beverages and distributes them primarily to supermarket and food service customers.

J&J Snack Foods reported revenues of $454.3 million, up 3.3% year on year. This print topped analysts’ expectations by 2%. Overall, it was a very strong quarter as it also put up an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

The stock is down 3.2% since reporting and currently trades at $111.53.

Read our full, actionable report on J&J Snack Foods here, it’s free.

Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW)

Best known for its Grown in Idaho brand, Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) produces and distributes potato products such as frozen french fries and mashed potatoes.

Lamb Weston reported revenues of $1.68 billion, up 4% year on year. This result surpassed analysts’ expectations by 5.7%. It was a very strong quarter as it also logged an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ organic revenue estimates.

Lamb Weston scored the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The stock is up 17.2% since reporting and currently trades at $57.57.

Read our full, actionable report on Lamb Weston here, it’s free.

Market Update

As a result of the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has come down from frothy levels post-pandemic. The general rise in the price of goods and services is trending towards the Fed’s 2% goal as of late, which is good news. The higher rates that fought inflation also didn't slow economic activity enough to catalyze a recession. So far, soft landing. This, combined with recent rate cuts (half a percent in September 2024 and a quarter percent in November 2024) have led to strong stock market performance in 2024. The icing on the cake for 2024 returns was Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. Presidential Election in early November, sending major indices to all-time highs in the week following the election. Still, debates around the health of the economy and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts remain, leaving much uncertainty around 2025.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Quality Compounder Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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