Ball’s second quarter results were shaped by robust global volume growth and ongoing shifts in product mix, but the market reacted negatively as margin pressures and operational inefficiencies weighed on performance. Management pointed to strong demand for aluminum packaging, especially in energy drinks and nonalcoholic beverages, but noted that North and Central America margins were dragged down by a rapid increase in lower-margin categories and costs related to tariffs. CEO Daniel Fisher said, “The spike in the one customer in particular, growing nearly 20%, created some pretty inefficient service model and delivery schedules for us,” highlighting the operational challenges faced during the quarter.
Is now the time to buy BALL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Ball (BALL) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $3.34 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.12 billion (12.8% year-on-year growth, 7% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.90 vs analyst estimates of $0.87 (3.3% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $516 million vs analyst estimates of $501.7 million (15.5% margin, 2.9% beat)
- Operating Margin: 10.3%, up from 8.5% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 10.8% year on year vs analyst estimates of 5.4% growth (545.7 basis point beat)
- Market Capitalization: $14.56 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Ball’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Ghansham Panjabi (Baird) asked about margin declines in North America, with CEO Daniel Fisher explaining that a surge in energy drink volumes led to operational inefficiencies and lower-margin product mix.
- Stefan Diaz (Morgan Stanley) inquired about customer reactions to tariffs and potential 2026 price impacts. Fisher responded that most customers are focused on securing can supply, with pricing dynamics likely to evolve as trade negotiations progress.
- Philip Ng (Jefferies) questioned Ball’s ability to meet strong demand amid tight capacity. Fisher highlighted the planned Northwest facility and asset acquisitions in Florida as key to alleviating bottlenecks.
- Anthony Pettinari (Citi) asked about the impact of tariffs and new facilities on profitability. Fisher clarified that tariffs contributed $2–3 million to margin drag, while the Florida asset is expected to be accretive by next year.
- Edlain Rodriguez (Mizuho) queried the effect of immigration enforcement on demand patterns. Fisher observed that increased at-home and grocery multipack consumption could benefit can volumes, offsetting some channel-specific risks.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking forward, the StockStory team will track (1) the ramp-up of new production capacity in North America and Europe to alleviate supply constraints, (2) the evolution of product mix as Ball continues shifting toward nonalcoholic and energy drink categories, and (3) the company’s ability to manage cost headwinds from tariffs and inflation. Execution on operational efficiency initiatives and success in securing long-term customer contracts will also be key milestones.
Ball currently trades at $53.60, down from $57.64 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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