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The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From Waste Connections’s Q2 Earnings Call

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Waste Connections delivered second quarter results that modestly exceeded Wall Street’s expectations on both revenue and non-GAAP profit, but the market responded negatively, likely reflecting caution around certain operational headwinds. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to effective pricing strategies, improvements in employee retention, and disciplined cost control, which helped offset volume declines and continued pressure from commodity-related activities. CEO Ronald Mittelstaedt emphasized, “We overcame headwinds from incremental weakness in commodities, RINs and cyclical volumes and still delivered margins consistent with our guidance.”

Is now the time to buy WCN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Waste Connections (WCN) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.41 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.39 billion (7.1% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.29 vs analyst estimates of $1.25 (3.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $786.4 million vs analyst estimates of $782.7 million (32.7% margin, in line)
  • Operating Margin: 19.1%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 6.6% year on year, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $49.39 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Waste Connections’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Tyler Brown (Raymond James) asked about the balance between share buybacks and M&A, with CEO Ronald Mittelstaedt clarifying that repurchases are opportunistic and do not signal a shift away from acquisition priorities.
  • Toni Kaplan (Morgan Stanley) probed the timing and impact of contract shedding on volume trends, with CFO Mary Anne Whitney explaining that the heaviest impacts will be felt in Q3, followed by normalization in subsequent quarters.
  • Noah Duke Kaye (Oppenheimer) requested details on revenue mix shifts and the impact of commodity and E&P (energy and production) volumes, with Whitney breaking down the moving pieces and noting that lower U.S. drilling activity is partly offset by gains in Canada.
  • Kevin Chiang (CIBC) inquired about the remaining margin improvement potential from better employee retention, with Whitney estimating further gains are possible but that some headwinds from risk management costs may persist.
  • Bryan Burgmeier (Citi) sought clarification on regional differences in volume declines, with management highlighting that Canada and West Coast markets held up better relative to softness in the Southern and Eastern U.S. regions.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will closely monitor (1) the pace and success of new acquisition integrations and their impact on margins, (2) the effectiveness of AI and technology-driven initiatives in driving further operational efficiencies, and (3) signs of stabilization or recovery in construction-related and commodity-driven revenue streams. The outcome of regulatory developments at the Chiquita Canyon landfill and further improvements in employee retention will also be key to tracking the company’s execution.

Waste Connections currently trades at $191.84, up from $184.34 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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